EAST PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI) -- Vice President Kamala Harris still leads former President Donald Trump by double digits in Rhode Island and Massachusetts in the home stretch, according to a new survey released Sunday.
An "Ocean State Poll" by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center (UNH) of 708 Rhode Island likely voters found Harris at 54% of respondents saying they already have voted for her or will choose her, and Trump at 40%. Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 2% in this poll, and so did Party Party candidate Robert Wells.
Harris's support went down by four points when compared to a poll of 738 registered voters by the same firm in September. Her lead then was 20 percentage points and now sits at 14 during the last weekend before Election Day.
The margins both candidates had in this survey don't differ too much from Rhode Island's 2020 presidential election results, which saw President Joe Biden obtain 59% of the vote and Trump have 38%.
Another UNH survey from Massachusetts that also published Sunday saw Harris with another sizable lead. In that poll, which surveyed 744 likely voters, Harris had at 60% and Trump at 34%. Harris's share went down by two points compared to a poll in September by UNH and Trump went up three points.
"That's not a surprise at all," 12 News political analyst Joe Fleming said about the survey. "Rhode Island is a very Democratic state, Massachusetts is even a more Democratic state than Rhode Island."
Fleming added that it's expected that Harris "will win on Tuesday" in both Rhode Island and Massachusetts.
The last time a Republican presidential candidate won either state was Ronald Reagan in 1984.
The race for president is going to come out to voter turnout due to how close poll results are in the battleground states, Fleming said.
"Who gets their vote out, that's what the campaigns are working on this weekend," Fleming explained. "Motivating their base, making sure their voters get out to vote -- whoever does the better job of that will probably come out ahead."
The Rhode Island survey was conducted by UNH online from Oct. 29 to Nov. 2 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.
In terms of favorability, the margin tightens a bit. Harris is viewed as favorable by 48% of the respondents, while 32% feel similar about Trump.
Harris also leads Trump by over 30 points among women in this survey, while Trump leads by 12% with men. Voters in the age group of 18 to 34 also back Harris strongly, with her having 61% to Trump's 33%.
Concerns of political violence were also high among respondents.
A majority, 54%, said they were concerned people will try to use illegal or violent methods to interfere with the election process, according to the "Ocean State Poll."
UNH also polled Rhode Island's U.S. Senate race this year. In that survey, also released Sunday, 54% of respondents back U.S. Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, a Democrat, over Republican state Rep. Patricia Morgan, who had 40%.
That survey's sample was 708 likely voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.
Fleming also expects there will be a heavy turnout in Rhode Island. The vote turnout tracker showed on Sunday evening that over 187,000 ballots have been cast.
"We already have 23% of the people who have voted between mail ballot and early voting in the state of Rhode Island," Fleming said.